VERIFIED · 2025 SEASON
The Whole Track Record
Every bet we actually placed, the winners and the losers - graded flat, no cherry-picking, no hiding the bad weeks. This is the honest scoreboard.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL · ALL MARKETS
+26.00u
+9.9% ROI · 105-100-0 · 51.2% over 205 plays
This split identifies where the historical consensus performed best within the stated sample.
NFL · ALL MARKETS
−22.00u
−12.3% ROI · 62-85-3 · 42.2% over 150 plays
A down year for the pros - shown, not hidden.
METHODOLOGY AND SCOPE
85%
got the closing number or better · avg CLV +0.35 pts over 308 graded spread plays
Closing-line performance is one useful signal, not proof of a durable edge. This sample includes 308 graded spread plays with available closing-line data. The headline record is graded flat and is independent of price.
Realized Bankroll - 2025
The plotted first point is the displayed start balance. Each unit is 1% of the current bankroll, compounded by sport and week.
By Sport & Market
Graded results across everything we flagged in 2025.
| Sport | Market | Record (W-L) | Win % | Net Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB | Spread | 99-96 | 50.8% | +27.00u |
| CFB | Total | 6-4 | 60% | −1.00u |
| NFL | Spread | 49-69 | 41.5% | −20.00u |
| NFL | Total | 13-16 | 44.8% | −2.00u |
Full transparency, including the loss
Across every graded play we actually made in 2025 - graded flat, no odds adjustment - the season finished +4.00u over 355bets. The edge lived in college football; NFL was the drag. We publish the losers next to the winners on purpose - that's what “transparent record” actually means, and one season is a small sample.
THE SIGNAL IS REAL
Top Sources We Track
Best graded win rates in 2025 (min. 15 graded picks). We aggregate 1,000+ of these.
| # | Source | Sport | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickwatch_jewelz98 | NFL | 12-4 | 75% | |
| 2 | Jeff_Ma | CFB | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| 3 | Pickwatch_Steve Helwagen | CFB | 16-6 | 72.7% |
| 4 | Pickwatch_Fans | CFB | 15-6 | 71.4% |
| 5 | Power Sweep Technical POW | CFB | 12-5 | 70.6% |
| 6 | Pickwatch_Ted Holmlund | CFB | 14-6 | 70% |
| 7 | pickwatch_themanpicks | NFL | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 8 | Pickwatch_ChristopherPrice | NFL | 11-5 | 68.8% |
| 9 | Steve Coughlin | CFB | 24-11 | 68.6% |
| 10 | pickwatch_mightypicks | CFB | 19-9 | 67.9% |
| 11 | pickwatch_cdoug2662 | NFL | 21-10 | 67.7% |
| 12 | Pickwatch_MASTER007 | CFB | 15-8 | 65.2% |
See this season's card
Get the free weekly sample when the season kicks off, or go straight to the full card.
For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Must be 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.